Odds-On: UFC 248 Betting Preview
Welcome back folks. The Ultimate fighting championship returns this weekend for a blockbuster PPV from Las Vegas. Very good card from a betting perspective so let’s try to win some money.
Rodolfo Vieira v Saparbek Safarov
Safarov could arguably be dirtiest fighter on the UFC roster going from previous fights. Eye pokes, low blows, fence holds, there are no limits to what he will do to get that W. He can bang but his two UFC losses so far have been to Gian Villante and Tyson Pedro, both of whom I would rate at the lower tier of UFC calibre fighters.
Vieira is a BJJ stud, six wins, five submissions and one TKO. He has been impressive in his short career and made light work of fellow BJJ black belt Oskar Piechota in his last fight.
I see this one being easy. Safarov will be dangerous for the opening exchanges but his cardio and takedowm defence leaves a lot to be desired. Vieira going to take him down and finish him in round one.
There’s levels to this game and if Tyson Pedro is tapping you out early, Vieira is going to have easy work.
Selection: Vieira Round 1 $2.10, +110
Jose Alberto Quinonez v Sean O’Malley
I’m all aboard the “Suga” Sean hype train. His movement and striking in the fight was next level in my opinion. He looked excellent. Quinonez has beat the lower levels of the division but when he’s stepped up to fight the better ones he’s struggled. I’m keen this trend continues.
O’Malley has been bulking up and his BJJ has improved immensely as shown at his impressive quintet performance. I feel he’s only going to look better after his two year layoff.
I think he holds too many weapons both on the feet and on the ground and even if Quinonez grapples I think O’Malley could prove to be the stronger of the two. I feel if he can get this done late in round one or early round two.
Selection: Sean O’Malley R1 $3, +200
O’Malley inside the distance $2, +100
Neil Magny v Li Jingliang
I just can’t have Magny here at all after his layoff. His only route to victory here is a chance submission for me. I think that “The Leech” catches him with a big shot and ends it early.
Magny will throw his jab and some low kicks but can see a big counter from Jingliang causing him trouble. I think there is value in the knockout so I’m going to make it a play.
Selection: Li Jingliang Knock Out $2.63, +163
Israel Adesanya v Yoel Romero.
I’m excited for this one. Not too much value betting wise but I’m taking a bet on Izzy inside the distance. Feel his output will be too much for Yoel. Will need to keep away from Romero’s power shots but he’s proven before that he has a chin and the cardio to keep going all five rounds. I just feel he out works him and wears him down eventually.
Selection: Israel Adesanya inside the distance $2.25, +125